And if everyone is middle class, no one is middle class. There is, in fact, no universal definition, so it’s as much defined by education and cultural background as income. But the latter covers such a large swath of Americans who — equally important for would-be members of the middle class — aspire to nicer homes, larger salaries and fancier cars.
Recession — and the fear of recession — is the one thing that could take a wrecking ball to people’s dreams of a middle-class life: steady employment, a vacation or two a year, college education, children in summer camp, and a home that is shiny and big enough to subtly showcase — tactfully and with #gratitude — on social media.
The Pew Research Center uses the middle 20% of Americans’ income and wealth (roughly $106,000) to define that massive club where everyone is hustling for membership. Others say it’s defined as making 50% above or below the median annual income (around $62,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and SoFI Learn ).
Many Americans regard a college education as a critical component to becoming middle class. But this alone may not be enough: Outstanding student-loan balances in the U.S. now total around $1.8 trillion, more than any other type of household debt with the exception of mortgages. (And don’t underestimate the earning power of, say, a plumber.
It has become so amorphous and unattainable that the whole idea of middle class has become meaningless.
Which brings us to homeownership, that other essential marker for middle classdom. Only 66% of Americans, according to some estimates, actually own their own home. To qualify for a home mortgage, with the median price of $418,500, Americans would need to earn $117,000. You can’t be middle class to all people, all the time.
The ability of most Americans to seriously lay claim to the title has become so amorphous and, in many cases, unattainable, that the whole idea of middle class has become meaningless. The middle class is dead. Long live the middle class. Is it possible, given the high bar, that even six-figure households are proudly working class?
In a recent Wall Street Journal commentary titled “Free Trade Didn’t Kill the Middle Class,” Norbert Michel, director of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives, wrote, “The share of households earning more than $100,000 has tripled over the past five decades.” (And inflation has risen nearly 500% over the same period.)
The debate over whether the middle class has expanded or, in real terms, shrunk, never seems to go away. Do baby boomers or Generation X-ers who started their careers 30 years ago, despite seeing their salaries increase over that time, feel any less worried about retirement or job loss or balancing the household budget?
If we really are all middle class, what does that mean? This was probably the most eye-opening takeaway from this MarketWatch analysis, which laid out which of the five “wealth classes” you likely belong to based on your net worth, according to a category breakdown by Bo Hanson, a financial planner and co-host of the “Money Guy Show.”
People who belong to the “middle class” have a net worth of $29,300 to $209,000 (bad luck if you only have a net worth of $29,200, as you only belong to the “bottom 10%”); the “upper middle class” have a net worth of $209,000 to $714,000; while the “upper class” have a net worth of up to $2.1 million. The “wealthiest 10%” are next.
Some food for thought: Roughly 25 million households in the U.S. earn less than $30,000. For the sake of simplicity, let’s call them “working class” — to employ a British term that seems to be less popular in the U.S. — or blue collar, a more widely used term for lower-paid workers (who work just as hard, if not harder, than everyone else).
Another sign that the middle class has become harder to pin down: The share of U.S. adults living in middle-class households has fallen over the past five decades to 51% in 2023 from 61% in the early 1970s, according to the Pew Research Center, a 10 percentage-point decline over that period. Blame rising inequality.
Trump’s speech to Congress did not mention ‘middle class.’ He mentioned ‘illegal aliens’ five times.
You know who may have noticed this? President Donald Trump. Those figures are broadly, if crudely, reflected in Republican “red” states. Those red states reportedly have a lower median income than blue states and lower levels of education. Red states also have a higher mortality rate, according to this Newsweek analysis of World Population Review data.
American presidents used to appeal directly to the hopes, dreams, aspirations and fears of the middle class. State of the Union addresses often mentioned the middle class, primarily because presidents were aware that folks either wanted to be middle class or thought of themselves as middle class, even if they only had a couple of key qualifiers.
The middle class is not what it used to be, politically speaking at least. They/we used to be red meat for lawmakers. Trump’s speech to the joint session of Congress last March mentioned the middle class zero times. (He did, however, mention the Middle East four times; the only common denominator in that phrase is the word “middle.”)
He dropped the phrase “illegal aliens” five times. Trump, who is a billionaire several times over, did not mention “class” in the context of wealth and social advancement, during his speech. He spoke about the diversity, equity and inclusion contracts at the Department of Education, but not about the educational prospects of voters, per se.
Trump, to be fair, has previously spoken about rescuing the middle class. One theory for such political-stump speeches: People want to better themselves, but it isn’t always as easy as it sounds. Relative economic mobility is lowest for kids who grew up in the Southeast and highest for those who grew up on the West Coast, Great Plains and Northeast.
The president focuses on “why” people may have not attained economic success. While others may disagree, it has been a lightning rod that propelled him to the White House. Former President Joe Biden’s focus on junk fees eating away at the middle class and Kamala Harris’s pleas to broaden the middle class did not resonate in the same way.
That suggests that the financial divide is a cultural one too. Case in point: More than a third of U.S. workers in technology, management, and business and finance occupations belong to the upper-income tier, according to Pew. If you want to find out if your neighbor is a high earner, they probably are if they work in tech.
Still, it’s not all doom and gloom for social mobility and economic equality in America. “Notably, the increase in the share who are upper income was greater than the increase in the share who are lower income,” Pew Research found. “In that sense, these changes are also a sign of economic progress overall.”
Are we doomed to repeat the mistakes of the past and keep spending until another downturn comes along?
“But the middle class has fallen behind on two key counts. The growth in income for the middle class since 1970 has not kept pace with the growth in income for the upper-income tier,” the Washington, D.C.-based think tank added. “And the share of total U.S. household income held by the middle class has plunged.”
And now what? If we’re all middle class or if none of us are really middle class, where does that leave nine-to-five clockwatchers? Are we doomed to repeat the mistakes of the past and keep spending and borrowing until another downturn comes along, and all our middle-class sand castles in the sky are blown away once again?
This time could be different. Middle-class Americans — everyone and no one, baby — could be finally learning their lesson after credit-card debt passed the $1 trillion mark in recent years. We are facing our fears and holding on tight to our dreams. Latest figures have actually shown a decline in credit-card debt for the third straight month.
The barometers of consumer behavior suggest we are not quite sure which way to turn. The savings rate hit 4.5% in June after soaring during the pandemic. Deloitte’s financial well-being index has been on a downward slide since December, and appears to show people have been cutting back on dining out, a favorite middle-class pastime.
Maybe the time has come for Americans to finally embrace our working-class roots.
You can email The Moneyist with any financial and ethical questions at qfottrell@marketwatch.com. The Moneyist regrets he cannot reply to questions individually.
Seattle AI founder looks to leave as taxes rise, ‘Everybody that I know… is in the process of leaving’
Opinion by Rachel del Guidice
FOX NeTech founder blames Washington’s millionaire tax for state’s exodus where it doesn’t feel like you’re welcome.
A Seattle AI startup founder says he’s preparing to leave the city as taxes rise, warning that many entrepreneurs are already heading for the exits.
“We’re out looking for an alternative,” Jesse Proudman, president and CTO of Venice.ai, a privacy-focused unrestricted generative AI platform, told Fox News Digital in an interview Friday.
“So we were looking in Nevada, we’re looking in Texas and Austin, we’re looking at Nashville and Florida,” Proudman said. “And these are climates where the business community is vibrant. They’re climates where the government is encouraging entrepreneurship, where they’re welcoming people, and they’re not villainizing those who have built something.”
Proudman said he has been in Washington state for 28 years, and that Venice.ai is his third startup. He started his first company when he was 13.
“Seattle used to be a place where you were excited to build something, where it was celebrated, where you could imagine creating something from nothing and that you could manifest that,” Proudman said.
“And for many years, for probably 20 years, that was the culture here,” he added. “We had a vibrant startup community. We had a very supportive startup community. And the ecosystem worked. It helped build the companies. And then, for whatever reason, sort of over the last four or five years, we’ve seen this shift where entrepreneurship is now villainized. And it’s an unfortunate and sad shift in what otherwise has been a phenomenal place to run businesses.”
In March, Washington state Democrats passed the “millionaires tax,” which Democratic Gov. Bob Ferguson signed on March 30. It’s the state’s first-ever income tax, pushed by progressives and socialists and opposed by conservatives.
“They’re beginning with millionaires because that’s an easier place to sell it. It’s obvious that they intend to apply this to everybody,” he said.
Proudman said that his concern is that Washington state Sen. Jamie Pedersen, who sponsored the millionaires tax, intends to extend the tax beyond millionaires.
“He said he intends to apply it to everybody and, quite frankly, its implication is that Washington will become the highest tax state in the country,” Proudman said of Pedersen. “It doesn’t make sense to continue to live here if you have mobility.”
During a recent event at Seattle University, Mayor Katie Wilson, a self-described democratic socialist, laughed and appeared to dismiss the possibility that millionaires would leave the state.
“I think the claims that millionaires are going to leave our state are, like, super overblown. And if — the ones that leave, like, bye,” Wilson said.
Proudman sees a more stark situation.
“The reality is everybody that I know that has means to leave has either left or is in the process of leaving,” he said.
“They’ve listed their homes, they’re shopping elsewhere,” Proudman continued. “And again, it’s like, you don’t want to be where you’re not part of the community, where it doesn’t feel like you’re welcome. And so the mayor, whose job it is, is to build a vibrant city, is telling the people who have built companies here, who have created jobs in this city and this state that they’re not wanted here.”
“It’s the same thing that happened in California with Elon Musk,” he added. “Again, he went to Texas. Like, you’re not wanted, you’ll move to a climate where you are.”According to the Tax Foundation, the city of Seattle has the highest combined state and local sales tax rate, at 10.35%.